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has a future?

"For the first time in years, energy and resources are being Poured in browsers, the ubiquitous programs for accessing content on the Web. Credit for this trend-a boon to consumers, goes to two parties. The first is Google, Whose big plans for the Chrome browser Microsoft have shaken out of its torpor competitive and forced the software giant to pay fresh attention to its own browser, Internet Explorer. Microsoft had all but ceased efforts to enhance IE after it triumphed in the last browser, Netscape sending to its doom. Now it's back in gear. "- Rich Jaroslovsky in Business Week, 25/02/2010 .

If you look in the current Web browser usage statistics by StatCounter for Europe, we see something remarkable:

Source: StatCounter Global Stats - Browser Market Share

Last December, Firefox for the first time his old rivals - the Internet Explorer from Microsoft - obsolete! Although the global statistics provides another way to and from other statistics such as those of Net Applications is the proportion of Firefox are more modest, but nevertheless this is a huge success, one at the absolute dominance IE thinks that the Mozilla community has broken bit by bit. So everything is good in Firefox at home?

is our biggest asset

If you look at the global profile of the browser distribution for the past 12 months, in addition to the permanent fall of the IE market share and the unbroken rise of Google Chrome in particular the stagnation of the Firefox share striking:

Source: StatCounter Global Stats - Browser Market Share

go seems that the IE lost market shares no longer as in previous years directly to Firefox, but mainly in Chrome. How this change is actually going on can only guess, but since Chrome has in technically-oriented sites an even higher market share may be assumed that remains a significant change from IE users held for Firefox, while Firefox among users, the much-in Web're on the road, losing Chrome.

The question at this point is the consequences of this for one of the best examples of successful open Source PRODUCT. Firefox stands before a massive crash as soon as Microsoft comes out with the IE 9 and published his ChromeOS Google?

Microsoft Firefox never took seriously and will never do

Why has Microsoft in the past few years, actually more or less idly watched as the market share of the browser's own ever declined? Because Firefox never posed a serious threat to Microsoft's business model.

only after Google's entry into the browser market, Microsoft has suddenly moved and is now on the verge with the version 9 of the IE to publish a browser that can actually claim to be in almost all relevant areas State-of-the-art or even to be a leader, be it speed, privacy and also in compliance with standards.

Why has used Google to Microsoft here wake up and send them on a path that they might never want to go? As for Google, the browser connects with a strategy that seeks to replace the cash cows Microsoft Windows and Office. This requires a browser that extremely fast, extremely safe and user-interface is very slim ago. None of these properties was true for Firefox Google Chrome was released in late 2008. Today it has

even looks were as Apple's Safari and Opera to Firefox in many places passed, all previous efforts to Mozilla's defiance. can

Not In the forceps large industry

only when you look at the browser charts give the impression that Firefox take in a pincer between Microsoft and Google gets, what Firefox has an extremely improved IE 9 they put up, behind which developers are huge resources of a company that sees itself threatened in its ureigenstens business?

How can you compete with Google, that its ubiquitous marketing opportunities using the net for a massive application of its browser, and even the cities with posters covered? Quite apart the fact that Chrome is faster, safer and easier, and is developed with incredible speed further?

It is therefore not unrealistic to assume Firefox has had absolute climax, and probably already passed. This year will probably begin the descent, which includes not only the strengthened competition and the failures will contribute in the following areas:

missed opportunity 1: The browser as operating system

Google will release a few months Chrome OS , a Linux-based operating system, which is the only application of the Chrome browser. In this system, the browser and Internet access everything, everyone used service is web based. On the other side on this platform can be no other browser installed, any OS computers sold with Chrome Chrome is a durable user more in the global market share.

Basically, the idea of a Linux system with a browser would also be well implemented in Firefox and in fact there were also smaller attempts in this regard. However, we never saw the great vision and the driving force in the Mozilla environment to create in this way a genuine counter-draft to the Microsoft world as it tried to Google now.

More likely it is Microsoft or Apple might go a similar route as Chrome and OS greatly reduced versions of their operating systems have on the market, which dominate on their own browser, of course.

Wasted Chance 2: The mobile platforms

If one mobile to Firefox seeks leads in this page of the Mozilla project. There you can download Firefox for Nokia devices. No links to Android or even IOS version. Although there is a version of Android, but it's still in beta and now plays no role. had

With the rapid rise of iPad and Android in the last year and the expected flood of tablets in 2011 one would think that the Firefox developers Field faces. But this is not the case. Instead of dominating the included Apple and Google Browser (which are also quite excellent) and Opera.

In view of technological backwardness, for example, in speed and so far limited experience with touch screen surfaces a major breakthrough here is not to be expected. Already, however, the iOS browser appears occasionally in global (and not mobile-specific) statistics, a clear sign that the mobile browser market share will affect the overall strong in the future. Here, too, so Firefox is under pressure.

problem: Who wants to work for the third best

acts Perhaps my Overly pessimistic view and it will not be that Firefox breaks dramatically in a short time, to the cycles in the development of the browser market share so far been far too slow. Nevertheless, the question is how Mozilla plans to define the long term and this may be the issue of competition for talented developers important.

Today is Firefox a leader only in very few places, so maybe in the number of available extensions. In all other respects it has surpassed its competitors, especially Google sets still faces an enormous pace in the development of its browser. And Microsoft is so not relax long as Google presents.

In an open-source project is, however, always the question whether enough people can see who find it so cool and exciting and innovative that they invest their time in it. And with Firefox raises the question why one should invest his time in a product that seems hopelessly lagging behind, and - also has no realistic chance of recovering the lead in the foreseeable future - in my view.

Here is perhaps the neglect of the mobile sector, the most damaging, taking place since the time of all the exciting things in Apps on smartphones and the "mobile first" slogan, almost has become proverbial.

Risk: All browsers in company hands

And what is so bad about when Firefox would follow the way of Netscape in the halls of IT history? Apart from a certain nostalgia, perhaps simply the fact that after all the main browsers were in company hands. It also changes very little, that Apple's WebKit and Google are all chrome browser open source. compete

As long as the big three Apple, Google and Microsoft have each other there will be development, but what if they once thought or will? Already, the debate about the HTML 5 video formats H.264 and WebM the solidification of the Web technologies in some areas that only large corporations (in competition with other big companies) can be broken up.

Maybe Mozilla will eventually only the way to the open source products industry to join, to curate them and to improve in a few places in the sense of end users. This would create a world moving from the original Pride product can no longer be much left, but it would be at least a way to stay in the game basically. It is definitely exciting ...